A fun, interactive map laying out bogus Stimulus-related job creation claims. There aren’t any listed for Vermont (yet). . . we need to get on that . My favorite:
North Chicago, IL
The city claimed to have saved the jobs of 473 teachers with its $4.7 million education stimulus grant. The district employs only 290 teachers
I came across this amazing article on the Vermont Commons blog, and was quite impressed. It’s by Dmitry Orlov, the author of Reinventing Collapse (a book that, using the Soviet collapse as a model, develops a framework through which to understand the contemporary decline of the American Empire). Aside from being quite insightful from both an economic and sociological perspective, it also has some absolutely fabulous quotes. A few especially delicious excerpts:
The breakdown of public order would be particularly dangerous in the US, because of the large number of social problems that have been swept under the carpet over the years. Americans, more than most other people, need to be defended from each other at all times. I think that I would prefer martial law over complete and utter mayhem and lawlessness, though I admit that both are very poor choices.
The market mechanism works well in some cases, but it doesn’t work at all when key commodities become scarce. It leads to profiteering, hoarding, looting, and other pernicious effects. There is usually a knee-jerk reaction to regulate the markets, by imposing price controls, or by introducing rationing. I found it quite funny that the recent clamoring for re-regulating the financial markets was greeted with cries of “Socialists!” Failing at capitalism doesn’t make you a socialist, any more than getting a divorce automatically make you gay.
One thing that makes political collapse particularly hard to spot is that the worse things get, the more noise the politicians emit. The substance to noise ratio in political discourse is pretty low even in good times, making it hard to spot the transition when it actually drops to zero. The variable that’s easier to monitor is the level of political embarrassment. For instance, when Mr. Nazdratenko, the governor of the far-east Russian region of Primorye, stole large amounts of coal, made strides in the direction of establishing an independent foreign policy toward China, and yet Moscow could do nothing to reign him in, you could be sure that Russia’s political system was pretty much defunct.
In the US, there is a gradual surrender of sovereignty, as sovereign wealth funds buy up more and more US assets. That sort of thing used to be considered akin to an act of war, but these are desperate times, and they are allowed to do so without so much as a nasty comment. Eventually, they may start making political demands, to extract the most value out of their investments. For instance, they could start vetting candidates for public office, to make sure that we remain friendly to their interests.
the existence of finance and credit, of consumer society, and of government-imposed law and order has allowed society, in the sense of direct, mutual help and of freely accepting responsibility for each others’ welfare, to atrophy. This process of social decay may be less advanced in groups that have survived recent adversity: immigrant and minority groups, or people who served together in the armed forces. The instincts that underlie this behavior are strong, and they are what helped us survive as a species, but they need to be reactivated in time to create groups that are cohesive enough to be viable.
FDIC Chairwoman Sheila Bair: “In retrospect, I think it was not a good idea.” To bad that message was dismissed by those in power while we were being robbed blind; a year down the road, it’s “history”, and nobody’s going to be held to account. See the full interview here.
In one of the newer bills to ooze out of the halls of Congress, a change in tax law amounts to providing bailouts to the large developers who fed the housing boom to the tune of hundreds of millions of dollars, when many of them are still in sound financial positions with plenty of cash on hand. It’s truly amazing how brazen the thieves have become; then again, it’s not like we can do anything to stop them… For a full analysis of the bill, check out this article from the NY Times.
At the Vermont Community Access Media producers dinner on Friday night, American Socialism for the Rich was honored with the VCAM’s 2009 Staff Award for “Fearlessly Embracing Both the Spirit and Technology of Community Access Digital Video Production”! The dinner was quite the production, with clips played from all of the shows currently in production, ranging from a wrasslin’ fan hour to fairly high production value stuff. Additionally, long-time producer of the “Songwriter’s Notebook” Rik Paliari talked about the experience of having his show archived at the Library of Congress, and the Director of the Vermont ACLU gave the keynote address.
When it came time to ask questions of the speaker, I asked about the ACLU’s position on the utility of the Tenth Amendment of the Constitution as a tool for preserving liberty. As soon as the words “Tenth Amendment” came out of my mouth, his body language became dismissive/exasperated, and his answer was that, essentially, there are parts of the Constitution that are anachronisms, and the tenth, as well as the ninth and third, fall into that category. I strongly disagree with that analysis, as I ascribe to the position, a laDavid Deudney, that the checks and balances (or “negarchy”) created by the Constitution are vertical [Federal-State-People] as well as horizontal [Executive-Legislative-Judicial]. As the exchange occurred at a dinner, I didn’t press the issue; however, I think this line of thought deserves bearing out, so ASR will be extending an invitation to the ACLU in the near future…
Contrary to the predictions of the sanguine experts, last week the official unemployment rate broke into the double digits (while Shadow Government Statistics‘ alternative measures are showing a rate above 20%, e.g. near Great Depression levels). With that in mind, I was really impressed with this article from the Las Vegas Sun about how, in Las Vegas, the situation is getting so desperate that citizens are joining illegal migrant workers in trying to find casual day labor. The article is very well written, and incisively points to the narrowing of the gap between third world workers and the “labor aristocracy” (to quote Hobsbawm) of the first world. As Las Vegas is at the epicenter of the housing bust, I wouldn’t be suprised if the appearance of this phenomenon there is but the leading edge of a larger trend that will begin making itself known across the country. As the fiscal crises of the States deepen and the “stimulus” crack wears off, Home Depot parking lots might start getting a lot more crowded…
Check out this well-done spatial timeline of recent bank failures; it give a geographic specificity that’s lacking in pure statistics. 140 and counting since 2008…
According to a recent press release, the United Steelworkers Union is partnering with the Mondragon corporation of Spain to investigate the possibility of starting Mondragon-style manufacturing cooperatives in the United States.
For those who are unfamiliar with Mondragon, it is a network of employee-owned cooperative companies that was started in a poor region of Spain in 1956. The profits were reinvested into starting more cooperative enterprises, and the network gradually expanded over the course of the last fifty years to the point where it reported 16 billion Euros in sales in 2008. As a result of its corporate structure, it is owned by its employees who elect the directors on a one-member one-vote basis, and profits not reinvested in the enterprise go to the employee owners. Otherwise, it functions as any private company, competing in the marketplace for business against all comers.
As such, news of a USW-Mondragon partnership should be particularly heartening for those of a libertarian bent. For most of the 20th century, the main-line labor movement has been a driving force behind increasing government intervention in the economy, whether through pushing for protectionist trade measures or bailouts for the faltering American auto industry. However, despite the enormous amount of power these unions wield in many industries, they lack the sense of responsibility and husbandry that comes with the ownership of an enterprise. As long as people other than the employees own a company, the workers are incentivized to wring as much as they can from it on a short-term basis. Things are fine and dandy for them until the company suddenly goes belly up or moves over-seas, at which point the goose that lays the golden eggs is cooked.
In order to prevent that end-game, it is in the best interest of both the owners and the union to go hat in hand to the State looking for a bailout and/or a pseudo-monopoly. However, with an employee-owned company the employees directly benefit (income-wise) if the company is profitable and are hurt if it loses money (no dividends that year), so they are incentivized to think of the enterprise’s long-term prospects. The whole “wages vs. profits” struggle of a privately held company is a moot point in an employee-owned cooperative since the profits go to the employees anyway. Furthermore, the company cannot be off-shored since only employees can hold equity in the company; as such, moving a steel plant to Mexico would simply not make sense.
The success of such an enterprise could transform the nature of the main-line unions from organizations that function in a certain state of denial about the functions of the market into organizations promoting the development of a less speculative, more productive economic system. One in which the creative power of the free market is combined with the many benefits of universal ownership to bring prosperity to every corner of the globe. To see unions in such a dynamic, creative role would be a breath of fresh air after fifty years of vision-less accommodation to the corporate-welfare state status quo.
According to an excellent post by Mish, Citigroup has just raised the rates on 2 MILLION of their credit cards to 30%, regardless ofthe holder’s credit rating. Not only does this indicate that Citigroup needs to raise revenue quickly due to bad news concerning their $1.1 trillion worth of “shadow assets“, but it also means that:
Citibank’s average yield year-to-date (consumer and plastic) was about 12%. But they’re suffering 10% defaults, making their true margin about 2%. That’s still a positive number…. if it’s accurate.
This spread, of course, has a lot to do with previously-issued fixed-rate 12.99% cards (they and everyone else had a lot) that were handed out like candy to everyone and their brother, frequently with $10,000, $20,000 or even $50,000 credit lines.
Huge numbers of small business owners – especially sole proprietors – use these cards as a means of financing operations. They relied on that 10 or 12% interest rate, and most of them have huge balances outstanding.
I have since confirmed that this letter is not just going to people who have had credit “challenges”. Indeed, this appears to be a blanket change on the part of Citibank. I now have multiple copies from people who assert that they have 750+ FICOs and have never missed a payment on this or any other obligation – the “paragon” of so-called “responsible” credit use. All of the letters are identical.
The problem should be obvious – for someone with one of the 12.99% cards that is now 30%, this is a radical change that more than doubles monthly interest expense. Of those who have sent me copies of this letter and disclosed their previous rate, none were over 20%, meaning that these changes represent 50% or greater interest rate increases. If you’re anywhere near the edge of being unable to pay, this will shove you off the bridge and into the deep, shark-infested water of bankruptcy.
In other words, Citigroup is sucker-punching the economy in a desperate bid to stay solvent. If the consumer response to this move continues to build, we might be looking at the double-whammy of a slew of small business and personal bankruptcies (which will trash fourth quarter unemployment and GDP figures), followed by another government bailout of Citi which would further weaken global confidence in the dollar by forcing the Feds to sell even more bonds into an already flooded market. This will be an interesting story to follow in the next week as Citi’s PR machine inevitably starts trying to spin it to make it look like they’re not up sh*t creek without a paddle.
In which we discuss the Rock Art Vermonster Scandal, the Saudi’s request for compensation should industrial countries reduce their oil consumption, among other topics…
November 24, 2009
The Structure of Collapse
I came across this amazing article on the Vermont Commons blog, and was quite impressed. It’s by Dmitry Orlov, the author of Reinventing Collapse (a book that, using the Soviet collapse as a model, develops a framework through which to understand the contemporary decline of the American Empire). Aside from being quite insightful from both an economic and sociological perspective, it also has some absolutely fabulous quotes. A few especially delicious excerpts:
Ant there’s plenty more; check it out.
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Tags: Dmitri Orlov, financial crisis, Reinventing Collapse, Vermont Commons